Root Wins LPCA Straw Poll

The LPCA Convention today held an open instant-runoff straw poll after hearing Burns, Kubby, Jingozian, Phillies and Root debate. The counts of first-preference results were:

• 20 Wayne Root
• 12 Steve Kubby
• 12 Ron Paul
• 8 George Phillies
• 3 Jim Burns
• 2 Christine Smith
  
• 2 Mary Ruwart
• 2 Karen Kwiatkowski
• 1 Michael Jingozian
• 1 NOTA

After the IRV process, the results were

• 31 Root
• 21 Kubby

All of the 64 anonymous ballots have been made public at http://snurl.com/lpcsec.

Smith's victory in the Super Tuesday primary seemed to have been anomolous, perhaps explicable by her being the only woman in a very crowded field. By winning convincingly in Kubby's home state, Root has established himself as the front-runner in the campaign. I would now rate the odds of nomination as

• 50% Root
• 35% Kubby
• 10% Phillies
• 5% Others